
Reuters reports that a US cold spell is lifting domestic gas demand and forcing Permian Basin drillers to curb output through freeze-offs. European TTF gas prices rose over 6% in a week to nearly 40 euros/MWh, up 38% so far in the month.
The US, which exported over 100 million tonnes of LNG in 2025 with about two-thirds going to Europe, is central to the rally.
Freeze-offs cut US supply while cold lifts domestic demand, tightening the LNG market and lifting global gas benchmarks, which supports feed-grain and meal costs via energy and fertilizer linkages.
在过去 13 次中性的天气事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.3%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +4.7%),20 个交易日内为 +6.1%。
在过去 30 次看涨的天气事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%(67% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +9.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。