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The USDA forecasts that soybean oil demand from the renewable fuel sector will stay flat at about 12 billion pounds per year after 2022. Analysts, including LMC International's James Fry, expect U.S. biodiesel and renewable diesel demand to reach nearly 30 billion pounds by 2030.
Fry says the USDA projection looks inconsistent with the expected growth in renewable diesel.
A flat USDA demand outlook, if it proves accurate, would leave soybean oil supplies looser than industry forecasts suggest, weighing on prices. The gap between USDA and private forecasts makes the outlook uncertain.
在过去 146 次看跌的报告事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。