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DTN reports that analysts struggle to model soybean oil needs as renewable diesel projects multiply. Rabobank's forecasts show renewable diesel could require tens of millions of added soybean acres and about 3.6 billion bushels more soybean production by 2030.
Government policies, including the RFS RIN system, a $1 per gallon tax credit and California's LCFS, drive the buildout.
Growing biofuel demand for soybean oil is expected to tighten vegetable oil supplies and lift soybean prices and crush margins. The policy-driven outlook supports firmer soybean and soy oil prices.
dtnpf.comChris Clayton2021年12月16日在过去 842 次看涨的政策事件之后，豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.1%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 356 次看涨的政策事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
