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Iowa State economist Chad Hart attributes higher oat and coffee prices to severe weather over the past year. He notes that western US droughts that began in 2020 led farmers to plant less oats and harvest about 40% less in 2021.
The piece also discusses soybean oil demand for renewable diesel and the policy and energy-price factors that could drive a future biofuel boom.
Lower oat supplies from drought keep oat prices firm for feed buyers. The soybean oil biofuel outlook is a longer-term factor that depends on policy and crude prices.
econ.iastate.edu2022年1月4日在过去 68 次看涨的天气事件之后，燕麦 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +3.9%），20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
