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Cocereal expects Romania's 2022 soft wheat crop to fall to 7.9 million tonnes from 11.1 million in 2021. Across the EU and Great Britain, soft wheat output is forecast at 139.8 million tonnes, down from 143.2 million, while rapeseed is projected to rise to 20 million tonnes.
A lower EU and Romanian wheat crop would tighten European supply and support wheat prices, though rising rapeseed output partly offsets this for oilseed meal. The forecast is an early estimate and is a modest factor for markets.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。