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Nordea's March update forecasts EUR/USD rising from about 1.10 to 1.18 and GBP/USD reaching 1.42 by the end of 2023. The bank expects the dollar to fade from mid-2022 as US growth slows, and it flags high option volatility linked to the Ukraine conflict.
Commodity currencies are seen as having scope for gains.
A weaker dollar later in 2022 would lower the cost of dollar-priced commodities for non-US buyers and could support commodity-linked currencies. These are long-range forecasts and not a near-term supply or demand shift.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。