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The USDA March Hogs and Pigs report came in below analyst expectations across almost all categories, showing the US breeding herd down almost 2% year on year. Producers intend to farrow 2.99 million sows in March-May 2022, down 2%.
Steve Meyer questioned whether the small pre-report survey reflected market sentiment, and futures were lower through October in midday trading after the report.
A smaller-than-expected hog inventory is supportive for hog prices, but futures' decline afterward shows the market sees the report as partly priced in. Lower herd size reduces future pork supply and reduces feed demand.
agweek.comJeff Beach2022年3月31日在过去 100 次看涨的报告事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 770 次中性的报告事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
