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USDA projects the all-milk price averaging $18.25 for 2020 and $17.70 for 2021. Class III prices rose through October and November on government cheese purchases, strong cheese exports and higher dry whey prices, but cheese fell sharply in November and Cropp warned December Class III could drop near or below $16.
Lower projected 2021 milk prices and a sharp expected December Class III decline reduce dairy farm revenue and signal weaker demand for dairy-based feed ingredients, while steady production keeps supply ample.
farmprogress.comFran O'Leary2020年12月1日在过去 273 次看跌的报告事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +0.4%），20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Cheese fell sharply in November after government purchases faded, and the analyst warned that December Class III could drop near or below $16.
Dated 12/1, it flags the sharp November cheese drop and a warning that December Class III could fall near or below $16, so it points to the downward repricing in the futures contract; the timing fits the move window.
USDA outlook notes cheese fell sharply in November and December Class III could drop near or below $16, reinforcing downward price expectations.
