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A Farm Progress article reports USDA chief economist Seth Meyer's comments on how La Nina could affect 2022-23 weather, after USDA's March 31 planting report projected 90.9 million acres of US soybeans. Meyer said it is early and the relationships are loose, and more than 70% of the winter wheat crop was in drought.
Weather risk for US soybeans and winter wheat supports prices, but the official view is that the link to the next crop is still uncertain. The effect is a moderate, not decisive, price driver.
farmprogress.com2022年4月21日在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
