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Bank of America economists say the US Dollar Index, currently at 20-year highs, is unlikely to peak yet. They cite persistent US policy divergence, high energy prices tied to the Ukraine crisis, and weak Chinese import demand.
A continued strong dollar would keep dollar-priced feed commodities under pressure and raise import costs for buyers outside the US. Energy-driven dollar strength also links currency moves to fertilizer and freight costs.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 102 次中性的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.3% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 +1.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。