
DTN analyst Joel Karlin compares the USDA's February outlook with the May WASDE, which cut 2022 U.S. corn production to 14.46 billion bushels on a 177 bpa yield and 89.5 million acres. The report raised U.S. soybean production to 4.64 billion bushels and forecast soybean meal prices down $20 to $400 per short ton.
Global 2022/23 corn output and stocks were lowered, while soybean output and stocks were raised.
A smaller U.S. corn crop and higher corn prices favor corn, while bigger soybean supplies and lower forecast meal prices weigh on soybeans and soymeal. For feed buyers, the shift makes soymeal relatively cheaper against corn.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 399 次看跌的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。