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StoneX's fertilizer analyst says global phosphate supplies remain tight as Chinese export volumes stay far below normal and Indian stockpiles are low. Suppliers have strong pricing power because Indian demand is considered insensitive to price.
Tight supply with little near-term new production means phosphate prices are likely to stay firm or rise, raising input costs for feed and livestock producers.
stonex.comJosh Linville2025年7月31日在过去 193 次看涨的贸易事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
StoneX notes tight global phosphate supply, very low Chinese exports and low Indian stocks with price-insensitive Indian demand, giving suppliers pricing power and supporting DAP prices.
StoneX's 31 July view that phosphate supply is tight, with Chinese exports far below normal, Indian stocks low and Indian demand price-insensitive, gives suppliers strong pricing power and supports a sharp DAP price jump.
StoneX flagged tight global phosphate supply, with Chinese exports far below normal, low Indian stocks and price-insensitive Indian demand, which gives suppliers pricing power and supports a DAP rally.
Dated on the move day, it says global phosphate supply is tight with low Chinese exports and low Indian stocks, and that suppliers have strong pricing power, which supports a sharp DAP price rise.
