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ING forecasts a weaker Brazilian real, citing high Brazilian rates that are still attractive but a tightening US environment and political risk ahead of October elections, where Bolsonaro trails Lula. ING is also bearish on the Chilean peso, with inflation near 11% and a constitutional reform pending.
Expected real weakness would make Brazilian exports cheaper in dollar terms, which can add pressure to soybean meal, corn and sugar prices and support Brazilian export competitiveness.
fxmag.comING Economics2022年6月21日在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后，巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
