
Brazilian safrinha corn harvest has begun in Mato Grosso, with private forecasts of 110-112 million tonnes against CONAB's 114.6Mt and USDA's 116Mt. China has started buying Brazilian corn, which trades US$20-30 cheaper than US origin.
US December corn returned above 710 cents per bushel after a brief dip on Ukraine corridor headlines.
Chinese demand for cheaper Brazilian corn supports Brazilian export prices and competes with US corn, while uncertainty over Brazil's crop size adds some support.
在过去 683 次看跌的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 26 次中性的贸易事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。