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IKON Commodities projects a third consecutive bumper Australian grain crop in 2022-23, with total grains above 55 million tonnes. Its wheat forecast is 35.7 million tonnes, with barley at 12.54 million tonnes and canola at 6.71 million tonnes.
Flooding prevented some planting in Queensland and New South Wales, but above-average soil moisture is widespread on the east coast.
A large Australian harvest adds to global wheat and barley supply, which weighs on export prices. Wheat and barley supply is tight elsewhere, which limits how far prices can fall.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。