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Good rainfall and favourable conditions across much of Australia have led to significant upgrades in grain crop forecasts, contributing to domestic price declines. USDA raised its 2022/23 Australian wheat forecast to 33mmt, while a local commodity trader estimates 31.7mmt.
Parts of central west New South Wales face flood damage and possible yield losses of up to 50% in the worst-hit areas.
Larger expected Australian wheat supplies add to export competition and push prices lower. Localised flood losses in New South Wales are the main upside risk to that outlook.
mecardo.com.auAdrian Ladaniwskyj2022年8月23日在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
