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For the week ending 17 August 2022, low-pressure systems brought moderate to heavy rain to southern Australia, while northern areas stayed dry. Soil moisture is well above average in parts of New South Wales, Queensland and Western Australia, raising waterlogging risk.
The report also cites below-average July rainfall globally, which is likely to cut wheat output in Argentina, the EU and Canada and to weigh on corn yields in several major producers.
Global grain and oilseed output looks likely to fall below June forecasts, which supports wheat and corn prices. Good Australian rain is a bearish offset for Australian wheat yields.
agriculture.gov.au2022年8月18日在过去 224 次中性的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（46% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
