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A Columbia University analysis examines OPEC+'s August decision to raise September output by 100,000 barrels per day. The group referenced a lack of spare capacity for the first time in its history.
The analysis argues the increase is too small to control prices if demand keeps growing.
Lack of spare capacity suggests supply will stay constrained, supporting crude and energy-linked costs for feed producers. The analysis is a follow-up to the decision rather than a new supply event.
energypolicy.columbia.eduColumbia, CGEP2022年8月18日在过去 175 次中性的政策事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%（45% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +3.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 187 次中性的政策事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +3.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
