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Continued rain in Ukraine has delayed sunflower harvesting, with only 10% of the area threshed by September 15. Purchase prices rose to UAH 15,500-16,500/t, and the sunflower harvest is forecast to fall to 9-10 million tons from 17.5 million last year.
A sharply reduced Ukrainian sunflower crop cuts meal and oil export availability and supports prices. Rot losses from excess rain could reduce supply further.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 184 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。