A European Forest Institute policy brief based on interviews with cocoa, palm oil, and soy traders examines how they may respond to the EU deforestation proposal. Traders are likely to supply the EU with deforestation-free products while redirecting volumes still linked to deforestation to markets with laxer rules.
The brief suggests the regulation's impact on total forest loss could be limited.
If traders redirect non-compliant volumes elsewhere, EU supply of soy and palm oil may stay adequate, limiting price effects for feed buyers.
在过去 554 次中性的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 513 次中性的政策事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。