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Analysts polled ahead of the USDA's Friday quarterly stocks report expect September 1 U.S. corn stocks around 1.512 billion bushels, up 22% on the year but still an eight-year low. Soybean stocks are seen near 242 million bushels, down 6% and the lowest September 1 supply since 2016.
Tight old-crop corn and soybean stocks would support futures if the USDA report confirms them, while a surprise above estimates would weigh on prices.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。