
Public wheat stocks in India on September 1 were at a six-year low, and sugar carryover stocks are the lowest in five years. Rice production is uncertain because of deficient monsoon rain in the Gangetic plains and a new plant virus in Punjab and Haryana.
The piece argues for lifting export curbs on rice, wheat and sugar as soon as possible.
If India lifts its export curbs, global rice and wheat supply would loosen and prices could ease. Low domestic stocks and the crop uncertainty make an early reversal unlikely.
在过去 100 次中性的政策事件之后,稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.6% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 137 次中性的政策事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。