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An APRI policy brief examines how the Ukraine war has pushed up fertilizer prices sharply in 2022 compared with 2021, with Russia and Ukraine being major fertilizer suppliers to African countries. It argues food prices across Africa have risen steadily as a result and that African governments should invest in domestic fertilizer manufacturing rather than rely on short-term input subsidies.
Higher fertilizer costs squeeze farm margins and can cut future planted area and yields, supporting a firmer outlook for grain prices over time. For feed buyers the impact is mostly indirect and longer-term.
afripoli.orgOusman Gajigo2022年10月5日在过去 205 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.0%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 114 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.2%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
