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Reuters reports that a US diesel shortage is increasingly likely to persist until the economy slows. NY Harbor ULSD for December delivery trades at a $60/bbl premium to Brent, and the twelve-month spread has flared to a $50/bbl backwardation from under $10 a year earlier.
Retail diesel now sits $1.45/gal above gasoline, a record gap.
Tight distillate supplies raise freight and fuel costs for feed mills, grain handlers and livestock transport, which can pass through to feed and animal-product prices. The steep backwardation signals physical scarcity into winter.
reuters.comJohn Kemp2022年10月27日在过去 105 次看涨的宏观事件之后，ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%（45% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.4% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
