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USDA's mid-October Ag in Drought report shows 70% of US winter wheat area in some stage of drought, versus 41% a year earlier. Seeding emergence in the southern Plains and Midwest is 10 to nearly 20 percent below average, and the 2022 harvest was down 14%.
Poor establishment and a drought-hit winter wheat crop raise the risk of lower US wheat output in 2023, supporting HRW and SRW prices and feed-wheat competitiveness.
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。