
Purdue economist Nathan Thompson says Mississippi River gage height at St. Louis was between -2 and +3 feet in October and November 2022, the lowest in five years and well below the normal +10 to +16 feet. At Memphis, levels fell to between -10 and 0 feet.
Barges are loaded below normal levels to improve draft, which raises grain transport costs.
Lower barge loads raise transport costs and widen corn and soybean basis levels, pushing down the local prices farmers receive. Export competitiveness suffers while the river stays low.
在过去 359 次看跌的物流事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 297 次看跌的物流事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。