Record low Mississippi River levels have left barges beached and grain stranded in the Midwest, trapping local supplies. Ethanol producers report improved margins, with ADM citing $0.52 per gallon for July-September and The Andersons returning its ethanol division to profit.
Midwest basis has fallen sharply, reaching negative $0.46 per bushel at some southern Iowa river docks.
Stranded corn and soybeans depress local cash prices relative to Chicago futures, giving ethanol plants and river-served buyers cheaper feedstock while farmers and elevators on the river face weaker basis. Feed buyers in the interior may see lower local grain costs even as freight-related disruption persists.
在过去 359 次看跌的物流事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 297 次看跌的物流事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。