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Persistent heavy rain over key Australian wheat regions has raised concerns about crop quality, since moisture and dilution can lower protein content. Harvest was due to start in the week of 31 October, and the market is watching whether Australia can cover milling wheat demand if the Black Sea grain corridor expires.
Quality downgrades reduce the amount of milling-grade wheat Australia can supply to key importers. That supports wheat prices, especially if Black Sea supply is also at risk.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。