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Victorian winter crop production is forecast to reach a record 10.7 million tonnes for 2022-23, up 15 percent, despite flood losses following record October rain. ABARES puts Victorian wheat at 5.37 million tonnes and barley at 2.9 million tonnes, with the full extent of losses still uncertain.
Strong Victorian output adds regional grain supply, mildly bearish for wheat and barley, though flood-related losses leave downside risk to the forecast.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。