Nutrien Ag Solutions' Eric Snodgrass says the La Niña pattern is fading after three years and a shift to El Niño would generally bring a wetter spring to the Midwest. Models show wetter conditions from the mid-South to the Ohio Valley, though the western Corn Belt drought is not yet resolved.
Better spring moisture would ease drought worries in the western Corn Belt and support planting prospects, which is bearish for corn and soybean risk premiums. Tighter planting windows in the eastern Corn Belt could offset some of that.
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。