
BMO Capital Markets says recent U.S. data have kept the Federal Reserve on a higher-for-longer path, with markets pricing at least three more quarter-point hikes that would lift the terminal rate to 5.25%-5.50%. The U.S. dollar has rebounded to its highest level of 2023, and the Canadian dollar has weakened alongside it.
A stronger U.S. dollar and higher U.S. rates weigh on dollar-priced commodities and pressure the loonie, which can raise the cost of Canadian grain and oilseed imports while lowering Canadian export prices in local currency. The Bank of Canada may face pressure to hike again.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。