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Trase analysis finds that soy traders face more EU regulatory exposure from conversion of Brazilian savannah and grassland than from forest clearing. Only 17% of recent soy expansion into natural habitats was into forests.
The EU is due to consider broadening the regulation to other wooded lands by September 2024 and to grasslands by September 2025.
If the EU broadens its scope to Cerrado and Pampa land, a larger share of Brazilian soy could face compliance costs or exclusion from EU markets. That could shift soy flows and support EU-compliant soy premiums.
在过去 554 次中性的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。