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An opinion piece warns that an El Niño event could cut India's farm output and GDP, since about 60% of crops depend on monsoon rainfall. It highlights risks to rice, pulses, oilseeds and cotton, noting the last strong El Niño was in 2014-16.
Expected deficits in Indian kharif oilseeds and rice would tighten supplies and could lift prices, particularly for rice and oilseed-based meals.
在过去 179 次看涨的天气事件之后,稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 +2.2%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。