
The Brazilian real traded near R$5.00 to the dollar after a large inflow of dollars in the first quarter. Foreign-currency inflows reached $12.5 billion between January and March, the largest for that period since 2012, mostly from commercial exporters.
A record trade surplus of $16.1 billion through March supported the currency.
Exporters converting dollar earnings into reais tend to slow sales of soybeans, corn and meal when the currency strengthens, which can tighten export supplies and support dollar prices. Analysts expect the upward bias to persist in the short term, although a sustained rally needs fiscal certainty.
在过去 213 次看跌的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 44 次看涨的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(34% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 -2.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。