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Some analysts, including Vanguard and BlueBay, warn that high European gas prices will keep pressuring the euro-area trade balance. They argue the euro could fall back toward parity with the dollar, though the Bloomberg survey median sees $1.12 by year-end.
European natural gas futures are near €39 per megawatt-hour and are forecast to rise.
Higher European energy costs could weaken the euro and support the dollar, while sustained gas strength tends to lift energy-linked input costs for feed and fertilizer producers.
energyconnects.comBloomberg2023年4月28日在过去 533 次看跌的宏观事件之后，欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（33% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.2%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 155 次看涨的宏观事件之后，天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +7.1%），20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
