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USDA's Annual Summary showed U.S. milk production rose only 0.1% in 2022 while farm milk receipts climbed 37% to an average of $25.39 per hundredweight. RaboResearch says dairy prices have fallen sharply since, with May Class III around $16, well below production costs.
Weak milk prices and tight margins can prompt culling and slow herd growth, which reduces future demand for feed and affects dairy-linked protein meal demand. Analysts expect a recovery in the second half of the year.
在过去 273 次看跌的报告事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。