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ING expects the Federal Reserve to deliver a final 25bp hike at its May 3 meeting, as banking stress tightens lending conditions. The bank says the need for higher rates is questionable and forecasts 100bp of cuts before year-end.
The preview cites an unemployment rate of 3.5% and a strong first-quarter consumer spending reading.
Expectations of an end to hikes and future cuts point to a weaker dollar and firmer risk appetite, which typically supports dollar-denominated commodity prices.
think.ing.comJames Knightley, Padhraic Garvey, CFA, Chris Turner2023年4月28日在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后，美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
