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UK feed wheat and Paris rapeseed futures rose on May 15 after lower-than-expected US 2023/24 wheat production, but doubts persisted over renewal of the Black Sea Initiative due to expire that Thursday. Rapeseed prices are approaching levels last seen in the 2020/21 marketing year, down sharply from April 2022 peaks.
Doubts over the Black Sea deal raise the risk of disrupted Ukrainian grain flows, which supports feed wheat prices, while lower rapeseed prices make meal cheaper.
ahdb.org.uk2023年5月16日在过去 361 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +3.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
