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The Council formally adopted the EU Deforestation Regulation on May 16, 2023, prohibiting sale of relevant commodities and products in or out of the EU unless verified as deforestation-free. Large companies get 18 months to comply and smaller ones 24 months, with fines of at least 4% of EU-wide annual turnover.
The compliance window gives trade time to adjust, but the fine structure and verification burden will raise costs for soy and palm oil supply chains into the EU. Near-term price effects are likely limited, with the bigger impact as the rules take effect.
globaltradeandsanctionslaw.comSteven Farmer, Iris Karaman, Sarah L. Browne2023年5月23日在过去 369 次看跌的政策事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（46% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 400 次看跌的政策事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.1%），20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
