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Early sowing in south-eastern and south-western Australia has been strong despite a dry climate outlook, with NAB and Rural Bank reporting near-ideal conditions. Early ABARES forecasts show a 28.2 million tonne wheat crop and 9.9 million tonne barley crop.
A good planting start limits downside risk to Australian wheat and barley supply, which weighs modestly on feed grain prices, though El Niño remains a key risk to yields.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。