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A Terrain quarterly outlook says soybean prices rallied on tight old-crop inventories and weather uncertainty. The central Corn Belt is very dry as an El Nino pattern develops, and wheat abandonment in the Plains could lead to larger double-crop soybean plantings.
Concentrated dryness in key Corn Belt areas raises yield risk, while expected renewable diesel demand weakness and possible double-crop acres pull in the other direction.
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。