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Wheat quotations recovered after falling to their lowest since 2021, supported by speculative buying and importer purchases. ABARES forecasts Australian 2023/24 wheat output down 34% to 26.2 million tonnes on El Niño-related dryness, while Russian inspectors have halted Black Sea grain corridor inspections since May 31.
Lower Australian output and Black Sea logistics risk tighten wheat export supplies and support prices. Feed buyers may see wheat as a firmer alternative to corn in coming months.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。