An analysis of ad hoc direct payments shows these programs have grown sharply, averaging $17.4 billion a year since 2018 versus $2.3 billion a year in 2010-2013. Ad hoc payments made up 73% of direct payments since 2019, and were projected at $5.9 billion in 2023 after $11.9 billion in 2022.
The piece suggests a possible shift away from these payments.
Changes in ad hoc aid affect farm income and planting decisions, which feed into expected crop supply, but the effect on prices is indirect.
在过去 1,623 次政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 1,905 次政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 1,019 次政策事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。