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ABARES forecasts Australian agricultural production to fall 14% to A$79 billion in 2023-24, with crop production down 34% to 44.9 million tonnes. Export earnings are forecast to drop 17%, and the outlook reflects the end of La Niña and expected El Niño conditions.
A one-third drop in Australian crop output would significantly reduce grain exports and tighten global wheat and barley supplies, supporting feed grain prices. The forecast gives buyers a clear signal to expect higher Australian-origin grain costs.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。