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ING expects the Brazilian real to outperform as the Selic rate, at 13.75%, starts an easing cycle with roughly 400bp of cuts over the next year. The outlook also cites improving reform prospects and lower inflation, and a Mexican peso section is included.
Expected easing and a firmer real can shift Brazilian export competitiveness and origin pricing for soy and corn, a factor for feed buyers tracking Brazilian supply.
在过去 213 次看跌的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。