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Extreme heat in Europe has damaged EU crop yields, though the EU Commission still forecasts 2023-24 cereals output at 278m tonnes, up 5%. Russia's suspension of the Black Sea grain deal and cuts to global production estimates gave wheat markets short-term support, with Paris milling wheat futures up €2.25/t on the week.
Heat-related yield losses in the EU and the Black Sea deal suspension tighten wheat export supply and lift prices for feed wheat buyers.
fwi.co.ukCharlie Reeve2023年7月18日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
