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Wheat futures reversed a prior rally, losing almost all gains from the previous week as forecasts improved for US corn states, and rains fell over the EU, Russia and Australia. December SRW fell more than 100 cents in six sessions after rallying about 115 cents, while HRW held its trading range.
Improved rainfall forecasts reduce production risk across major exporters, easing wheat and corn prices. Lower feed grain costs help buyers, though the market remains sensitive to weather.
farmonline.com.auNathan Cattle, Clear Grain Exchange2023年7月28日在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 70 次看跌的天气事件之后，小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%（41% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.9% 至 +2.5%），20 个交易日内为 -1.1%。
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（44% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Wheat futures gave back nearly all the prior week's gains as weather forecasts improved and rains fell in the EU, Russia and Australia, which reduced supply concerns; HRW was more range-bound, so the link is partial.
Improved forecasts for US corn states and rains elsewhere erased the prior grain rally, with wheat reversing sharply and dragging corn lower.
