
Brownfield reports that the Congressional Budget Office estimates the 2023 farm bill at $1.5 trillion over ten years. An industry lobbyist says Congress will struggle to find extra funding and is working on a zero-baseline bill.
Committee drafts are expected around Labor Day, and about $20 billion in Inflation Reduction Act conservation money may be used.
Funding constraints may limit changes to commodity support and trade programs, leaving feed market fundamentals mostly unaffected. Reallocation of conservation money is a possible but minor factor for markets.
在过去 1,623 次政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 1,905 次政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 1,019 次政策事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。