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Rainfall for the week ending 26 July was up to 50 mm in central-north Queensland but only 5 to 15 mm elsewhere. Soil moisture reserves are declining in parts of the cropping regions, especially New South Wales.
The Bureau of Meteorology's El Niño alert remains in place, and a positive IOD may develop.
Dry conditions in key winter cropping areas raise the risk of lower wheat and barley yields, which supports export prices. The effect is modest so far because most cropping areas have had some rain.
agriculture.gov.au2023年7月27日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
