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Agritel, the analytics arm of Argus Media, estimates France's 2023 soft wheat crop at 34.82 million tonnes, up from 33.69 million last year and 1.3% above the five-year average. Yields are forecast at 7.3 t/ha on 4.77 million hectares.
The estimate is below earlier expectations after frost in April and dry weather from mid-May to mid-June.
A crop above average but below earlier forecasts leaves EU wheat supply only moderately tighter, so the price effect is limited. Buyers should watch whether further harvest losses or export demand shift the balance.
ukragroconsult.com2023年7月28日在过去 224 次中性的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（46% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
